Why Ceasefire Agreements Fail After the Fighting Stops: Lessons from the Iran–United States Confrontation

The Global Institute for Strategic Studies (GISS) The collapse of ceasefire arrangements is often explained as a failure of diplomacy, a breakdown of trust, or the result of renewed military provocation. Yet these explanations describe the immediate trigger rather than the deeper structural problem. Ceasefires rarely fail simply because negotiators drafted inadequate language or because […]